21 de janeiro de 2010

E continua .... a revisão da previsão sobre os glaciares nos Himalaias, e outras sobre a "incerteza" quanto aos resultados da ciência

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PS: Mais este: The IPCC's 2035 prediction about Himalayan glaciers: "The IPCC Fourth Assessment Report contains a mistake. This is not the first inaccuracy to be found in the AR4 - there have been several papers demonstrating where IPCC predictions have underestimated the climate response to CO2 emissions. However, this time the climate response has been overestimated. Specifically, the IPCC AR4 predicted the Himalayan glaciers would disappear by 2035 which is decidedly not the case. What's the significance of this error? To determine this, let's look at how it happened and the broader context."

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