16 de fevereiro de 2010

E continua... Opiniões, factos e ciência

Opiniões: 
  • Bill Gates is wrong about “energy miracles” « Climate Progress: Diz Bill Gates "Now the exact amount of how you map from a certain increase in CO2 to what temperature will be and where the positive feedbacks are, there’s some uncertainty there — but not very much. And there’s certainly uncertainty about how bad the effects will be, but they will be extremely bad.“"  
  • The Dunning-Kruger effect and the climate debate: "One of the best titles for a scientific paper has to be the Ig Nobel prize winning 'Unskilled and unaware of it: How difficulties in recognizing one's own incompetence lead to inflated self-assessments'. The paper compares people's skill levels to their own assessment of their abilities. In hindsight, the result seems self-evident. Unskilled people lack the skill to rate their own level of competence. This leads to the unfortunate result that unskilled people rate themselves higher than more competent people. The phenonemon is known as the Dunning-Kruger effect, named after the paper's authors, and is often seen in the climate debate. There are many with a cursory understanding who believe they're discovered fundamental flaws in climate science that have somehow been overlooked or ignored by climate scientists. Some take this a step further and believe they're being deceived."
Factos:
  • Washington's snowstorms, brought to you by global warming - washingtonpost.com: "Ripton Vermont: You want to hear my winter weather story? No, really, I know you do. The cross-country ski race I've been training for, set for today high in the Green Mountains: cancelled, lack of snow. Meanwhile, across the continent, backhoes and helicopters are moving snow down British Columbia's Cypress Mountain in an attempt to cover the Olympic ski courses, and technicians are burying cooling pipes beneath the moguls to keep them from melting. Some climate-conscious jokers put out a video pushing the sport of 'bobwheeling' for future snow-challenged Olympiads. And apparently there was some snowfall in the greater Washington area last week."
Ciência:

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