"... But until the actual convention, it’s just talk. For all the attention
being paid them, polls purporting to show how Hillary Clinton (or even
Sanders) would do against various possible Republican nominees are
meaningless at this point in the campaign. (After the two parties’
conventions in 1988 Michael Dukakis was running eighteen points ahead of
George H. W. Bush.) And no one should be under the illusion that the
nomination could be denied Trump without causing a civil war within the
Republican party. Trump commented on Wednesday of this week that if the
nomination is taken from him, “You’d have riots.” If he’s the nominee
there remains that possibility of a third party formed, among other
things to give Republican politicians a place to go until the storm
blows over. But whatever ultimately becomes of their candidacies, Donald
Trump and Bernie Sanders are atop movements that won’t go away. And
whoever ends up in the Oval Office will have a devil of a time trying to
govern."
2016: What We Now Know
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